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Alfredas Kiškis

Abstract

The article analyses the statistics of registered applications about criminal offences and brought cases in all police stations of Lithuania. The author is searching for specific features that indicate the existing of factors distorting criminological presentation. The methods of statistics and probability theory are being used.
The factors distorting criminological presentation have been detected in case statistics. The phenomenon of volitional regulation of the case bringing process in police stations is being noticed – in December annually the process of case bringing is speeded up artificially. The estimate of the volitional addition of cases has been calculated. The number of cases brought in 1995 has been decreased by 0,9% because of the difference in the scale of the volitional addition of cases. The number of the registered crimes has been decreased by about 0,9% for this reason. The December distortions are hidden due to the cumulative character of the statistics of the Ministry of Internal Affairs.
The fluctuation of the case bringing probability in different months is not only accidental, however, their reasons are not clear.
The process of case bringing and its change is important to crime statistics. The period 1990-1997 did not see any indications of decreasing registered crimes due to the growing police work in the common statistics of statements and cases.
It is necessary to investigate the case bringing process in different police stations.

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Articles