Prognose der Kriminalitätsentwicklung und - Prävention in der Slowakischen Republik an der Jahrhundertwende
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Abstract
The report is a brief review of scientific activities focused on crime prevention which have taken place at the Police Academy of the Slovak Republic, Bratislava.
The activities themselves started in 1995, when „The Mid-term Prognosis on Crime Development in the Slovak Republic“ was drawn up. The above-mentioned prognosis was revised in 1997 under the title „The Prognosis on Crime Development in the Slovak Republic by 2002, with Outlook as far as 2010“ . These documents have been worked out for the Ministry of Interior of the Slovak Republic and have been distributed to all agencies concerned with problems of crime.
In the recent times, the Police Academy has been dealing with crime development in a complex system of prognoses. Its model expects a definiton and network of:
1) the long-term, the mid-term and the short-term prognoses (according to the time period they are beeing applied);
2) the whole territory, the regional and the district prognoses (according to the territorial division);
3) the partial and complex prognoses (according to complexity);
4) the exploratory and normative prognoses (according to methodology).
It is necessary to emphasize that all the kinds of prognoses would lose their meaning if they missed preventive measures focused on avoiding an undesirable future.
The activities themselves started in 1995, when „The Mid-term Prognosis on Crime Development in the Slovak Republic“ was drawn up. The above-mentioned prognosis was revised in 1997 under the title „The Prognosis on Crime Development in the Slovak Republic by 2002, with Outlook as far as 2010“ . These documents have been worked out for the Ministry of Interior of the Slovak Republic and have been distributed to all agencies concerned with problems of crime.
In the recent times, the Police Academy has been dealing with crime development in a complex system of prognoses. Its model expects a definiton and network of:
1) the long-term, the mid-term and the short-term prognoses (according to the time period they are beeing applied);
2) the whole territory, the regional and the district prognoses (according to the territorial division);
3) the partial and complex prognoses (according to complexity);
4) the exploratory and normative prognoses (according to methodology).
It is necessary to emphasize that all the kinds of prognoses would lose their meaning if they missed preventive measures focused on avoiding an undesirable future.
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Authors retain copyright of their work, with first publication rights granted to the Association for Learning Technology.
Please see Copyright and Licence Agreement for further details.
