COGNITIVE TECHNOLOGIES OF MODELING MIGRATION PROCESSES IN EDUCATION

Abstract

The cognitive model of educational migration regulation is constructed on the basis of the oriented graph-structural scheme of causal relations between system elements. The model, in contrast to existing ones, combines factors taking into account their interaction, leaving, and educational conditions of foreigners, which in balance lead to educational migration, and determines the effects for the country, region, university, and individual migrant levels.

The cognitive model is the basis for developing the set of scenarios. Scenario modeling will allow identifying possible variants for the situation development, ways, and mechanisms of influencing the situation in order to achieve the desired results, avoid undesirable consequences, develop a set of measures to influence the situation. Each scenario is characterized by the initial data, management influence, and the obtained result. Thus, all possible variants of system development are considered and the optimal management strategy is chosen to achieve the desired goals.

Three core scenarios of development (optimistic, realistic, and pessimistic) were obtained on the basis of the cognitive model of educational migration regulation. Given these scenarios, methodological recommendations can be formulated on the regulation of educational migration in order to attract educational migrants to Ukraine from countries near and far abroad. This will promote the interests of social, economic, political, demographic development of the country.

Implementation of the proposed measures to regulate educational migration will facilitate the integration of domestic education and science into the world system, improve the quality of education and its competitiveness in international markets for educational services, increase income and offset the negative effects of Ukraine's demographic decline.